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    Societal Collapse


    A Living Literature Review
    • Is societal collapse just a random event?

      The difference between bad luck and bad understanding

      Posted on 2023/12/04

      One explanation for collapse is just bad luck. Sometimes all the factors that influence your society just point in the wrong direction and your empire crumbles without you being able to stop it. I want to use this post to explore if bad luck is a helpful framing for societal... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Influence Factors
      • Bad Luck
    • Societal consequences of the Little Ice Age

      From temperature drop to political turmoil

      Posted on 2023/11/20

      This post primarily centers around a comprehensive 2022 case study conducted by Markus Stoffel and colleagues (Stoffel et al., 2022). This information dense paper is notable for its integration of a literature review and the combination of data from diverse sources and historical records. It underscores the far-reaching societal consequences... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Case Study
      • Pre-Modern
    • Simulating the end of the world

      Exploring the current state of societal dynamics modeling

      Posted on 2023/11/15

      The first post of this living literature review gave a summary of the field of collapse studies. One thing that post makes clear is that we need better models of societal dynamics. This post explores the state of societal dynamics modeling. [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Overview Post
      • High Level
    • Famine’s Role in Societal Collapse

      Navigating the parameters that allow food production

      Posted on 2023/10/05

      If you read about collapse in past societies, one thing that comes up almost always is famine. Why is famine so closely connected with societal collapse? This post will summarize the reasons for this strong connection. [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Influence Factors
      • Famine
    • Science denial and nuclear winter

      A history

      Posted on 2023/09/28

      In the last year nuclear winter was a topic I spent a lot of time on. It is one of the potential global catastrophes that motivates me in general and it is directly relevant to my work (Jehn, 2023; Jehn et al., 2023). This makes it kind of obvious that... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Further Reading
      • Existential and Global Catastrophic Risk
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    Florian Ulrich Jehn  •  2025

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