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    Societal Collapse


    A Living Literature Review
    • How much food is there?

      Making a rough estimate

      Posted on 2024/08/30

      Many articles highlight famine as a major issue for societal collapse, emphasizing the overall vulnerability of food production and trade. The speed at which such events affect us depends on our food reserves. But how much food do we really have in stock? [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Resilience
      • Food
    • Democratic Resilience

      Democracies increase resilience, but are (somewhat) in decline

      Posted on 2024/07/26

      Democracies have a stronger incentive to keep their general population content compared to authoritarian regimes, as the political elite’s survival is more directly linked to the general population through elections. In a previous post, we explored the relationship between participation, inclusion, and democracy with societal resilience. We found that historically,... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Resilience
      • Participitation
    • Anthropocene traps

      How humanity works towards its downfall

      Posted on 2024/06/20

      Historical evidence shows that human civilizations repeatedly engaged in self-destructive behaviors in the past, especially in terms of resource overuse (1). Today, we could point to climate change, as a clear example of self-destructive behavior. In a recent paper, Søgaard Jørgensen et al. (2023) coined the term “anthropocene traps” for... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Influence Factors
      • Coordination Problems
    • Trade collapse

      Cascading risks in our global supply chains

      Posted on 2024/04/25

      Most things you use and particularly the food we consume rely on an intact global supply chain. Without trade, essential resources such as fertilizers would become inaccessible, making food production much harder. This post aims to provide an overview of the current trade system, highlighting its potential vulnerabilities and exploring... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Influence Factors
      • Coordination Problems
    • What factors allow societies to survive a crisis?

      Understanding history with big datasets

      Posted on 2024/04/09

      From time to time you come across a paper that blows you away with the amount of work it must have needed to create it and the fascinating insights that can be gleaned from it. For me the preprint “All Crises are Unhappy in their Own Way: The role of... [Read More]
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    Florian Ulrich Jehn  •  2025

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