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    Societal Collapse


    A Living Literature Review
    • The consequences of large-scale blackouts

      What happens to a society when the lights go out?

      Posted on 2024/09/29

      Electricity is essential for the functioning of our modern society, as nearly everything we do depends on the electrical grid in some way. While this reliance provides significant comfort and convenience, it also makes us vulnerable if the grid fails. But what happens when the grid stops working? This question... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Influence Factors
      • Infrastructure
    • How long until recovery after collapse?

      Setting some bounds

      Posted on 2024/08/31

      While we generally aim to avoid a collapse, it is crucial to understand the potential recovery time if one occurs. Assessing this is challenging, as it depends on the starting level of complexity, the extent of the loss, and the desired recovery level. History suggests three main stages in the... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Overview Post
      • High Level
    • How much food is there?

      Making a rough estimate

      Posted on 2024/08/30

      Many articles highlight famine as a major issue for societal collapse, emphasizing the overall vulnerability of food production and trade. The speed at which such events affect us depends on our food reserves. But how much food do we really have in stock? [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Resilience
      • Food
    • Democratic Resilience

      Democracies increase resilience, but are (somewhat) in decline

      Posted on 2024/07/26

      Democracies have a stronger incentive to keep their general population content compared to authoritarian regimes, as the political elite’s survival is more directly linked to the general population through elections. In a previous post, we explored the relationship between participation, inclusion, and democracy with societal resilience. We found that historically,... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Resilience
      • Participitation
    • Anthropocene traps

      How humanity works towards its downfall

      Posted on 2024/06/20

      Historical evidence shows that human civilizations repeatedly engaged in self-destructive behaviors in the past, especially in terms of resource overuse (1). Today, we could point to climate change, as a clear example of self-destructive behavior. In a recent paper, Søgaard Jørgensen et al. (2023) coined the term “anthropocene traps” for... [Read More]
      Tags:
      • Influence Factors
      • Coordination Problems
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    Florian Ulrich Jehn  •  2025

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